Unexpected arrivals
NIWA – the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research – has just released the monthly climate summary for May 2011. Climate data indicates that the average monthly temperature was 12.9°C, which is 2.2°C higher than the 1971–2000 May average temperature and the highest since reliable records were first compiled in 1909. A difference of 2.2°C is a lot.
May was also wet in some places and dry in others. Nelson and the north-west South Island experienced 2.5–3.5 times the normal rainfall and many parts of the North Island received far more rain they ordinarily would. By contrast, southern Hawke’s Bay, Wairarapa, Banks Peninsula and Fiordland received less rain than usual.
The warmth and wet were caused by predominating north-westerly winds. Auckland’s deadly tornado at the start of the month occurred when this warm air came up against colder air during a storm.
Prior to NIWA releasing this information about May temperatures I observed some unexpected changes in my garden. Firstly, I noticed my young kōwhai tree had sprouted its first ever flower pods. This was probably in late April or early May, and it’s now flowering. Then, last weekend I discovered some daffodil bulbs had sent up shoots and that my beautifully scented daphne had started to flower.
This was all very nice, but rather surprising and a little strange. I associate all these changes with spring, not the end of autumn – perhaps winter at the earliest for daphne. I’ve since learned that kōwhai flowering is staggered between July and November so the trees do not compete for birds, which is very ingenious. But May is not July, and I’m sure my bulbs would not ordinarily have poked their shoots up this early.
I think awareness of climate change made me think about these changes in more detail, notwithstanding the fact that it’s not possible to say there’s a connection between climate change and May’s record average temperature. They felt odd – my feeling was ‘but it’s too early for you all to appear!’
When I heard May was so warm these changes started to make sense. The average temperature at Wellington Airport for May was 14.2°C, 2°C higher than normal and the highest since records were first taken there in 1962. In Kelburn, a suburb near the CBD, the average temperature was 13.7°C–2.2°C higher than normal and the highest since records began in 1928.
Has this unseasonably warm month tricked my plants into flowering early and will the colder winter months fell my blooms untimely? Have you noticed any environmental changes or phenomena which you can now relate to this warmth? This could even extend to people – I saw some wearing t-shirts and shorts in Wellington recently. It wasn’t that warm!
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